Individual sanctions

Intended impacts

Elites/oligarchs/putin's closest

Ordinary Russians

Knowledge gap

Effects on Russia

GDP growth prognoses. The Russian economy is getting a big economic stimulus now. The state has redistributed large resources from healthcare, schools and the private sector to the war machine. This allows the economy to look good on a macro level, but it also hides large differences within the country and within the population. This leads to a slow erosion of the social contract and that basically all growth factors are negative in the long term.

Effects on sending countries